Experts Warn of Fragile Stability in Castilla y León's Economy Amid Unstable Growth

The economy of Castilla y León shows moderate growth but faces fragile stability due to unchecked public spending, reliance on foreign labor, and the need for strategic economic planning.

    Key details

  • • The region experiences unstable growth amid complex economic challenges.
  • • Public deficit decreased due to increased revenues but public spending remains uncontrolled.
  • • Zero-based budgeting is recommended to realign public spending with societal needs.
  • • Labor market relies on foreign workers and SMEs are crucial for job creation.
  • • A robust economic plan is needed to tackle depopulation and competitiveness.

The economy of Castilla y León is currently facing a state of "fragile stability," characterized by unstable growth within a complex geopolitical and economic context. According to the Economic Studies Service of Castilla y León (EcovaEstudios), presented by the College of Economists of Valladolid, Palencia, and Zamora, the third-quarter 2025 analysis highlights that while the region enjoys moderate growth and a skilled workforce, significant risks remain.

Juan Carlos de Margarida, director of EcovaEstudios, emphasized the deceleration in growth as 2025 closes, accompanied by high financial volatility, increased trade restrictions, and pronounced political uncertainty. Although the public deficit has decreased thanks to rising revenues, unchecked public spending continues to pose a challenge. He advocates for implementing zero-based budgeting to align expenditures with actual societal needs and to restore political accountability.

The ongoing extension of previous budget frameworks has limited the region's ability to introduce new public policies in critical sectors such as health, education, and social services. Moreover, vital infrastructure investment projects vital for enhancing Castilla y León's competitiveness are being neglected. De Margarida also pointed out inefficiencies in utilizing Next Generation Funds — a missed opportunity that threatens both national and regional economic growth.

The labor market in the region remains relatively healthy but is heavily dependent on foreign workers to fill essential job vacancies. Additionally, small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) along with self-employed individuals remain the backbone of job creation and wealth generation in the region.

De Margarida summarized that despite a favorable socioeconomic environment with a diverse industrial base, Castilla y León faces uncertain prospects without a strategic economic plan. He urged the autonomous community to develop robust policies that stimulate productivity, adjust public spending, and enhance national and international positioning. Such measures are vital to attract innovative businesses, consolidate existing companies, and create a favorable investment climate to improve quality of life and address pressing challenges like depopulation and long-term competitiveness.

This article was synthesized and translated from native language sources to provide English-speaking readers with local perspectives.