Economic Optimism Influences Public Tolerance of Corruption in Spain Under Sánchez

The Spanish government, led by President Pedro Sánchez, is strategically emphasizing positive economic indicators to mitigate public backlash amid ongoing corruption scandals. Following the exit of Francisco Salazar due to a sexual harassment scandal, Xavier Romero Vidal has been appointed director of the Department of Strategic Studies. Romero, a political scientist with extensive academic credentials, argues that good economic performance increases public tolerance toward political corruption. This pattern, observed across countries, suggests that citizens become less critical of corruption when economic conditions improve.

Romero’s research highlights that anti-corruption measures often arise during economic crises, implying the political elite perceive corruption as a pressing issue primarily in tough economic times. Sánchez’s government has thus leaned on favorable macroeconomic data—such as decreasing unemployment and rising GDP—to divert attention from political scandals, including allegations involving Santos Cerdán.

Despite the introduction of the National Plan to Combat Corruption, many proposed measures remain pending. This approach aligns with ongoing global economic optimism, with projections showing a 3.3% growth for 2026 and 3.2% for 2027, buoyed by technology investment and favorable financial conditions, as reported by the IMF. While global inflation is expected to decrease, geopolitical tensions pose risks that could affect stability.

The recent reshuffle in Moncloa demonstrates Sánchez’s intent to surround himself with well-educated advisors like Romero, focusing on substantive policy ideas rather than superficial messaging to navigate the complex interplay between economic performance and public opinion on corruption.